tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post3549070080898007959..comments2023-10-23T14:30:58.157-07:00Comments on www.thedan.us: I can't Believe he Wore that ShirtDanThomshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14653002394217075254noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post-69423074260704735602008-09-02T08:45:00.000-07:002008-09-02T08:45:00.000-07:00Thats so very true. When there are an infinite amo...Thats so very true. When there are an infinite amount of possibilities, the chances of one of them happening is quite good even when the chances of any single one happening is quite unlikely.DanThomshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14653002394217075254noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post-38495001254212509572008-09-02T08:29:00.000-07:002008-09-02T08:29:00.000-07:00The fun thing about coincidence is this:Although a...The fun thing about coincidence is this:<BR/><BR/>Although a certain event might seem eerily uncanny or unlikely (and statistically, is very unlikely), the probability of <I>something</I> (though not any one thing in particular) happening that seems uncanny or unlikely is actually quite high.<BR/><BR/>Take your example, the yellow shirt. Odds are heavily in favor of you two not wearing the same shirt, which makes the coincidence seem odd. BUT, think about this: How many things could have happened at that particular time that you would have considered odd?<BR/><BR/>He wore the exact same uncommon shirt, but what if you were both wearing the exact same uncommon hat or weird shoes or you both decided to bring a harmonica with you or you both have the same favorite 9 letter word, etc.<BR/><BR/>While any single occurrence above would have a very low probability, if you add together all of the things that would seem errily coincedental together, the probability of one of them happening becomes palatably high.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post-32381909858182589482008-09-01T15:08:00.000-07:002008-09-01T15:08:00.000-07:00I checked your math and your formula should have b...I checked your math and your formula should have been written as:<BR/><BR/>25,000/301,000,000*200*.25=<BR/>.0041528239202657807308970099667775<BR/><BR/>That changes it to about a 1 in 3 chance that that guy would be wearing your shirt. So it's really not that big a deal!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post-87119465285297304892008-08-30T09:03:00.000-07:002008-08-30T09:03:00.000-07:00I did talk to him. He bought the shirt at a thrift...I did talk to him. He bought the shirt at a thrift store in California. He is going to UC to be a pharmacist. Pharmacist apparently make over $100,000 a year.DanThomshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14653002394217075254noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-893530172326201103.post-89819039035027213612008-08-30T05:25:00.000-07:002008-08-30T05:25:00.000-07:00Did you at least talk to the guy afterward and fin...Did you at least talk to the guy afterward and find out what his story was? Perhaps he bought if off of Ebay one night while watching The Poseidon Adventure. Or, maybe the guy just likes lemon yellow. Or what about this, instead of turning it into a mathematical nightmare, maybe the guy just has really good taste....huh?, huh?, did ya ever think of that one??? It could be his favorite shirt and he might wear it everywhere he goes. Anything's possible right, mate? :)snoboundhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04364804868273043973noreply@blogger.com